April 13th seems so long ago, doesn't it? That's the day I posted my Stanley Cup predictions, and let's be charitable and say I wasn't wholly accurate. But how inaccurate? Let's take a look.
There were four Western Conference divisional semifinal series, and I predicted the Dallas Stars would defeat the Minnesota
In the second round, I said the St. Louis Blues would defeat the Dallas Stars in 4 games, and they also took the full 7. That series is 57% accurate, and I'm at 0% again in the other western series: I didn't think Nashville or San Jose would even be in there. Finally, in the Western Conference Final I correctly identified the Blues would lose in 6 games though I obviously got their opponent wrong. 50% accuracy there, let's say.
There are a total of 7 series in each conference, and my efficiency was 83,100,0,0,57,0,50, for a Western Conference accuracy rate of 43%.
Again, four opening series in the first round. I first predicted that Washington would defeat Philadelphia in only 5 games, it again took six giving me 83% efficiency. I predicted the NY Rangers would defeat the Pittsburgh Penguins in 7 games, and obviously Pittsburgh did slightly better than that. I did correctly predict that the NY Islanders would defeat the Florida Panthers in 6 games. I also correctly predicted that the Tampa Bay Lightning would defeat the Detroit Red Wings, though my accuracy was only 71% as I thought it would take 7 games rather than 5.
In the second round I predicted the Washington Capitals would be defeated, though I obviously got both the opponent (Pittsburgh, not New York) and the number of games (6, not 5) wrong, for a 42% efficiency rating. I did guess the number of games right in the other series, but I thought that the Islanders would defeat the Tampa Bay Lightning rather than the other way around for a 0% efficiency rating. Finally, I was 0% in the conference final since I had both teams completely wrong.
For the 7 games in the Eastern Conference, therefore, my efficiency was 83,0,100,71,42,0,0, for an Eastern Conference accuracy of 42%.
I predicted that the Los Angeles Kings would defeat the New York Rangers in 6 games, scoring a total of only 19 goals. Instead, 26 goals have been scored already with 3:01 time left in Game 6, and obviously neither team was present making my guess 0% for the final as well. With 15 series to play, I averaged 39% efficiency with my predictions.
Not bad, not bad. How did you do? Comment below.